Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001041 1.188194e-03 0.001338 0.001500 0.001672 0.001846 0.002037
2025-03-23 0.000861 1.074195e-03 0.001299 0.001551 0.001824 0.002108 0.002425
2025-03-30 0.000690 9.473904e-04 0.001229 0.001555 0.001916 0.002300 0.002735
2025-04-06 0.000571 8.645987e-04 0.001197 0.001592 0.002039 0.002520 0.003074
2025-04-13 0.000496 8.214077e-04 0.001204 0.001667 0.002200 0.002781 0.003456
2025-04-20 0.000363 6.932900e-04 0.001099 0.001607 0.002202 0.002862 0.003636
2025-04-27 0.000252 5.746591e-04 0.000995 0.001538 0.002188 0.002919 0.003785
2025-05-04 0.000206 5.384799e-04 0.000989 0.001583 0.002304 0.003122 0.004097
2025-05-11 0.000129 4.396764e-04 0.000893 0.001512 0.002277 0.003157 0.004217
2025-05-18 0.000065 3.418113e-04 0.000788 0.001420 0.002220 0.003154 0.004287
2025-05-25 0.000032 2.840483e-04 0.000731 0.001387 0.002231 0.003226 0.004444
2025-06-01 0.000007 2.174180e-04 0.000652 0.001318 0.002195 0.003240 0.004529
2025-06-08 NaN 1.618443e-04 0.000594 0.001292 0.002232 0.003368 0.004781
2025-06-15 NaN 1.411206e-04 0.000592 0.001346 0.002375 0.003627 0.005192
2025-06-22 NaN 1.075849e-04 0.000560 0.001354 0.002459 0.003816 0.005523
2025-06-29 NaN 8.710263e-05 0.000549 0.001392 0.002581 0.004053 0.005912
2025-07-06 NaN 7.813992e-05 0.000561 0.001464 0.002750 0.004347 0.006370
2025-07-13 NaN 4.225960e-05 0.000494 0.001409 0.002745 0.004427 0.006571
2025-07-20 NaN 1.600178e-05 0.000426 0.001345 0.002725 0.004483 0.006743
2025-07-27 NaN 1.026137e-05 0.000423 0.001388 0.002851 0.004723 0.007135
2025-08-03 NaN 2.989810e-07 0.000360 0.001321 0.002821 0.004764 0.007285
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001235 0.002759 0.004761 0.007379
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000256 0.001204 0.002773 0.004854 0.007589